Welcome to the 2024-25 Tony Awards season, one which saw 21 musicals and 21 plays opening on Broadway, along with one "special event," Ben Platt's concert residency at the Palace Theatre.
Who will win? We all will find out on June 8. Meanwhile, here Is Part III of my predictions -- Best Musicals, Best Plays, and Wrap-up
For what it's worth, I am not a Tony voter, but I am an Outer Critics Circle and Drama Desk voter, as well as the lead Broadway critic for Talkin' Broadway (talkinbroadway.com).
Of course, as a voter, I rely on my personal taste. That's not the case when it comes to predicting the Tony winners, a skill that requires guesswork with respect to how the votes will fall. Typically, my success rate lands at about 60%.
For this entry, I take a look at the Tony awards for best new musical, new play, musical revival, and play revival. At the end, there is a complete list of my predictions for all of the awards.
For best new Broadway musical of the 2024-25 Theater Season, the nominees are:
Buena Vista Social Club
Dead Outlaw
Death Becomes Her
Maybe Happy Ending
Operation Mincemeat
My Tony Prediction:
Maybe Happy Ending. This crowd-pleaser has the earmarks of a winning combination of story, song, and design elements.
For best new Broadway play of the 2024-25 theater season, the nominees are:
English
The Hills of California
John Proctor is the Villain
Oh, Mary!
Purpose
My Tony Prediction:
Oh, Mary! This perfect farce never lets up for a moment. And how brave it was to retain every bit of the downtown vibe that launched the play in the first place.
For best Broadway musical revival of the 2024-25 theater season, the nominees are:
Floyd Collins
Gypsy
Pirates! The Penzance Musical
Sunset Blvd.
My Tony Prediction:
Sunset Blvd. This is a wild and woolly revival, to be sure, but it certainly is original and committed to telling the story of the descent into madness of Norma Desmond in its own take-it or leave-it way. Its audaciousness is likely to propel it to the Tony.
For best Broadway play revival of the 2024-25 theater season, the nominees are:
Eureka Day
Romeo + Juliet
Our Town
Yellow Face
My Tony Prediction:
Eureka Day. This sharp, very funny, and exquisitely acted play satirizes what happens when seemingly like-minded people seek consensus.
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THE LIST
Best Book of a Musical: Maybe Happy Ending
Best Original Score: Dead Outlaw
Best Orchestrations: Just in Time
Best Choreography: Buena Vista Social Club
Best Scenic Design of a Musical: Maybe Happy Ending
Best Costume Design of a Musical: Buena Vista Social Club
Best Lighting Design of a Musical: Sunset Blvd.
Best Sound Design of a Musical: Just in Time
Best Scenic Design of a Play: Stranger Things
Best Lighting Design of a Play: Stranger Things
Best Sound Design of a Play: Stranger Things
Best Costume Design of a Play: The Picture of Dorian Gray
Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical: Darren Criss, Maybe Happy Ending
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical: Nicole Scherzinger
Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play: Cole Escola, Oh, Mary!
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play: Sarah Snook, The Picture of Dorian Gray
Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical: Danny Burstein, Gypsy
Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical: Natalie Venetia Belcon, Buena Vista Social Club
Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play: Conrad Ricamora, Oh, Mary!
Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play, Jessica Hecht, Eureka Day
Best Director of a Musical: Jamie Lloyd, Sunset Blvd.
Best Director of a Play: Danya Taymor, John Proctor is the Villain
Best New Broadway Musical: Maybe Happy Ending
Best New Broadway Play: Oh, Mary!
Best Broadway Revival of a Musical: Sunset Blvd.
Best Broadway Revival of a Play: Eureka Day
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And that's it. My best guesses for the winners of the 2025 Tony Awards. I'll see ya at the theatre! Oh, and don't bet your shirt on my predictions, cuz it's anybody's guess.
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