Tony Awards: ProfMiller's Predictions for 2014

Prof Miller Predicts the 2014 Tony Award Winners

The theater awards season is in full swing, and the countdown is on as we approach the BIG DAY, the 68th annual Tony Awards on June 8. It is time for Prof Miller to stick his neck out and make his predictions.  So, let’s polish up the old crystal and see what pops up, starting with the acting awards.

For Featured Actress in a Play, the nominees are:

Sarah Greene (The Cripple of Inishmaan)

Celia Keenan-Bolger (The Glass Menagerie)

Sophie Okonedo (A Raisin in the Sun)

Anika Noni Rose (A Raisin in the Sun)

Mare Winningham (Casa Valentina)

In this highly competitive category, Prof Miller has narrowed it down to two. Although he didn’t care for the much-lauded production of The Glass Menagerie, Celia Keenan-Bolger was terrific as the preternaturally shy Laura. But she faces stiff competition from Sarah Greene, a standout among a very strong ensemble as the scary/impish Helen in The Cripple of Inishmaan.  In the end, though, Celia Keenan-Bolger gets the Prof’s vote for a richly layered, tender performance that rose above the noise of the co-dependent characters at the center of the Tennessee Williams play.

For Featured Actor in a Play, the nominees are:

Reed Birney (Casa Valentina)

Paul Chahidi (Twelfth Night)

Stephen Fry (Twelfth Night)

Mark Rylance (Twelfth Night)

Brian J. Smith (The Glass Menagerie)

The odds favor Mark Rylance, and Prof Miller might have agreed if only the actor had kept himself from edging away from the sublime toward the ridiculous in his performance as Olivia. Instead, we’ll give this one to Paul Chahidi, whose Maria was the highlight of the savvy and audience-friendly production of Twelfth Night. 

For Leading Actress in a Play, the nominees are:

Tyne Daly (Mothers and Sons)

LaTanya Richardson Jackson (Raisin in the Sun)

Cherry Jones (The Glass Menagerie)

Audra McDonald (Lady Day at Emerson’s Bar and Grill)

Estelle Parsons (The Velocity of Autumn)

And the crystal says:  “Do you really need a crystal ball to tell you that Audra McDonald will win this?  Her performance as Billie Holiday soars beyond anything we’ve seen in a very long time.  Tony #6 is on its way!”  Prof Miller agrees!

For Leading Actor in a Play, the nominees are:

Samuel Barnett (Twelfth Night)

Bryan Cranston (All the Way)

Chris O’Dowd (Of Mice and Men)

Mark Rylance (Richard III)

Tony Shalhoub (Act One)

Hey, Hey, LBJ, it’s Bryan Cranston all the way!

For Featured Actress in a Musical, the nominees are:

Linda Emond (Cabaret)

Lena Hall (Hedwig and the Angry Inch)

Anika Larsen (Beautiful: The Carol King Musical)

Adriane Lenox (After Midnight)

Lauren Worsham (A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder)

Although I was disappointed in Cabaret overall, Linda Emond’s solid performance as Fräulein Schneider ought to carry her through to a Tony win. 

For Featured Actor in a Musical, the nominees are:

Danny Burstein (Cabaret)

Nick Cordero (Bullets Over Broadway:  The Musical)

Joshua Henry (Violet)

James Monroe Iglehart (Aladdin)

Jarrod Spector (Beautiful:  The Carol King Musical)

Another strong competition here, down to two:  Joshua Henry and James Monroe Iglehart. Joshua Henry literally stops the show and fully earns the waves of sustained applause that follow his rendition of “Let It Sing” in Violet, but the edge goes to James Monroe Iglehart, who has his own showstopper with “Friend Like Me” along with the entire juicy role as the Genie in Aladdin. 

For Leading Actress in a Musical, the nominees are:

Mary Bridget Davies (A Night With Janis Joplin)

Sutton Foster (Violet)

Idina Menzel (If/Then)

Jessie Mueller (Beautiful:  The Carol King Musical)

Kelli O’Hara (The Bridges of Madison County)

Another tough call, down to two. Sutton Foster has found a perfect fit for herself in the beautifully performed (acting and singing) Violet.  Jessie Mueller shines as Carol King in Beautiful:  The Carol King Musical.  I’d like to call a tie, but I’ll go with the true crowd-pleaser, Jessie Mueller.

For Leading Actor in a Musical, the nominees are:

Neil Patrick Harris (Hedwig and the Angry Inch)

Ramin Karimloo (Les Misérables)

Andy Karl (Rocky)

Jefferson Mays (A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder)

Bryce Pinkham (A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder)

Gotta go with Neil Patrick Harris here, and hope he will stick with Broadway down the road. 

Next, we’ll move on to the non-musical plays. 

For Best Play Revival, the nominees are:

The Cripple of Inishmaan

The Glass Menagerie

A Raisin in the Sun

Twelfth Night

Four strong contenders here.  Even though I did not care for The Glass Menagerie, I always appreciate strong work by a director who has a clear vision and is able to carry it out fully.  So thumbs up to John Tiffany… but, I’m calling Twelfth Night, under Tim Carroll’s splendid direction, as the winner. 

For Best New Play, the nominees are:

Act One

All The Way

Casa Valentina

Mothers and Sons

Outside Mullingar

Truth is, none of these hit the bullseye, but Bryan Cranston’s performance as LBJ plus the fascinating story of the powerful and complicated President make All The Way the likely winner.

For Best Director of a Play, the nominees are:

Tim Carroll (Twelfth Night)

Michael Grandage (The Cripple of Inishmaan)

Kenny Leon (A Raisin in the Sun)

John Tiffany (The Glass Menagerie)

As mentioned above, the more visionary work was done by Tim Carroll and John Tiffany, with Tim Carroll carrying the day for his work on Twelfth Night.

And now, on to the musicals!

For Best Musical Revival, the nominees are:

Hedwig and the Angry Inch

Les Misérables

Violet

Loved the performances in Violet, but the book is paper thin, so Prof Miller predicts that Hedwig and the Angry Inch will take the Tony.

For Best New Musical, the nominees are:

After Midnight

Aladdin

Beautiful:  The Carole King Musical

A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder

A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder was a cleverly presented Gilbert-and-Sullivan-like work, quite witty and charming and very well acted and directed, but Prof Miller sez the Tony goes to the musical that touched hearts—Beautiful:  The Carol King Musical.

For Best Director of a Musical, the nominees are:

William Carlyle (After Midnight)

Michael Mayer (Hedwig and the Angry Inch)

Leigh Silverman (Violet)

Darko Tresnjak (A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder)

In for a penny, in for a pound.  Since Prof Miller predicts that Hedwig will win best actor and best musical revival Tonys, then Michael Mayer gets the directing award. 

For Best Book of a Musical, the nominees are:

Chad Beguelin (Aladdin)

Douglas McGrath (Beautiful:  The Carol King Musical)

Woody Allen (Bullets Over Broadway:  The Musical)

Robert L. Freedman (A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder)

All four of these musicals draw from earlier sources, but it looks like this is where A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder will get its Tony.  The call is for Robert L. Freedman. 

For Choreography, the nominees are:

Warren Carlyle (After Midnight)

Steven Hoggett and Kelly Devine (Rocky)

Casey Nicholaw (Aladdin)

Susan Stroman (Bullets Over Broadway:  The Musical)

After Midnight boasts some mighty fine dancing, but not all of it was choreographed by Warren Carlyle.  Going to go with Casey Nicholaw’s work on Aladdin for this one. 

Stay tuned to June 8 to see how well Prof Miller’s predictions turned out to be.  As a reminder, last year, he (ahem) did better than either Charles Isherwood or Ben Brantley of The New York Times. 

Feel free to tell you friends about this blog, and to share your own theater stories by posting a comment.